“Beel” by Chelendis: “The optimistic scenario is 6 Richter earthquake in Santorini”

“We are in an intended phase – without the end of vibrations in the area”

The bell of danger to seismic Activity in the Cyclades was hit by seismologist Akis Zelentis posting on Facebook.

“The optimistic scenario is to have an earthquake of 6 Richter” in the area, while in the question, what is the worst scenario, the seismologist and former director of the Geodetic Institute replies “with a very small chance, is to activate the rift. of Amorgos and have an earthquake of 7R. “

After opposing the evacuation of Santorini, he then notes that in both scenarios – one earthquake 6 and a 7 -earthquake – “there will be a tsunami”, however, estimates that the impact that with modern warning machines and informing the world ” The effects will be minimal. “

In the crucial question of the duration of earthquakes, Mr Zelentis insists that we are in “pre -earthquake”, arguing that everything will depend “on when we have the main earthquake and its size”.

All Akis Zelentis’ post

Good morning your
“Sorry for my long posting but I had to explain some issues. Read it a little bit. “

Nature can be avenged if we do not respect it. The development of tourism is fine, but the earthquake comes to remind us that man is not only commanding man on the planet.
Do not take me anymore shouts this beautiful island. It arrives with the building on the caldera eyebrow. It arrives with the countless pools on the cliff.

What do we want? A Santorini resistant to the rock of the top sunset (as Tasos Doussis says) or a Santorini cracked, ready to be delivered to the quotes of Enceladus whenever he visits us?

The philosophy of “will not happen to us the evil” is outdated and stupid. Mathematics, where Enceladus has written great earthquakes will surely rewrite the same score, no matter how we do. Our ancestors were saying “wherever it will be.”

In addition, Santorini is shouting these days: I can no longer afford seismological changing the theories and heavy predictions of people who caught stall on television windows and people are terrified and not knowing what to believe.

So I made the decision to stay away from the media and as a means of communication to choose social media where I was surprised to see that my wall traffic is hundreds of thousands of citizens! This shows that people are tired of this meaningless television television experts who actually tell us nothing. (Of course there are serious voices such as the Donti of Geodynamics and several scientists from the University of Athens).

I repeat what I wrote in one of my posts about what has been heard:

1. One that the volcano will explode by 99%.
2. The other is that for the first time a new volcano will be created.
3. The other that the earthquakes come from a two -way relationship with the volcano (the rise of magma -I am also the acclaimed professor Papanikolaou). Read my post yesterday to understand the mechanism.
4. The other said that the first 5th when it had occurred was probably the main earthquake.
5. Many will soon end with a maximum of 5R after 5 became 5.5 after 6 and yesterday 6.5 and put on.
6. The other one is rushing (as if the citizen understands what the rod is)
7. The other (rather unrelated to seismology) declares that with his calculations (!) All of these little earthquakes have fueled the rift (when I in a previous post proved that the energy of a 7th is 32,967 times the energy of a 4R earthquake !!) !!) That is, as the ancients used to say “Egg and Cut”.

Today I heard a worthy colleague say publicly that “we have a war and can be over 6.5R” when at the beginning of the following I was talking about a big earthquake of 6-7R they questioned me and told us that we only have skirmishes and not wars With Enceladus, of course, according to the government’s and a large-alienated narrative.

I also didn’t understand this television show to shout at television cameras when installing a simple seismograph as if the new Elon Mask rocket would be launched! I have installed thousands of seismographers in my career all the lengths and backs of the earth. Did you ever see me doing it under the lights of television workshops? What benefits the ordinary citizen who requires specific answers.

After the latest war statements reminiscent of Hezbollah threats, people are on the rails. Even a while ago at 2 the dawn one sent me the following message to my cellphone: “Mr. Tselendis sorry for the inappropriate time. I have closed a job for a season in Paros. I will leave soon. Is my life in danger of the huge tsunami in the Aegean Sea as your very colleagues say? If it is to be in danger let me go elsewhere for a seafood. “

So I find it necessary to answer the hundreds of questions that send me terrified citizens every day on my page:

1. What maximum size are we waiting for? As I said from the beginning of the sequence, the optimistic scenario is 6r. In my previous post I explained the mechanism of this great seismicity and its two -way relationship with the Columbus volcano. READ it to understand how this prolonged seismic action is explained.
2. What is the worst scenario? With a very small chance, it is to activate the Amorgos rift and have an earthquake of 7R.
3. To evacuate the island? Of course not. Even in the great earthquake of 1956 we didn’t have much collapses, the island could stand. Of course, then we didn’t all have what town planning illegalities especially close to the boundaries with the cobblestone with miserable foundations on the unstable hunting land.
4. Will we have a tsunami? Unfortunately with both scenarios we will have. In the worst case, it can “beat” the coastlines of many islands but with advanced geodynamic precautionary systems and relative information to the world separately for all islands (this has not been done) the impact will be minimal.
5. How much will the earthquakes keep? This will depend on when we have the main earthquake and its size. Until then, this pre -earthquake action will continue (in Arkalochori a few months) but also when the main earthquake is due to the mechanism that causes it may continue for a while. We will, of course, have a wealthy weakening (not as now) post -seismic sequence. All this shows us that unfortunately we will have an impact on the island’s tourist product for a few more months.
6. If I stayed on the island (the most reasonable) what would I do?

• In addition to the faithful implementation of the measures proposed by the committees. I would apply the known seismic precautionary measures. Yesterday I saw a report from a bar that the bottles were without any elementary precaution, freely on the top shelves. Will the earthquake blame if the bartender eats any bottle with a vodka on the head?
• If my home is old or if there are some obvious (even capillary) discontinuities on the walls, we ask that an engineer to check it.
• If my house is on the eyebrow I would go to stay inland.

As you know as a sample of a righteousness, against the attempt to walk the scientific committee by placing vaccines without following the proper procedures, I submitted my resignation from a regular member explaining the reasons.

Surprisingly, I heard a member of the Commission yesterday in the media adopting the scenario that there is no issue with these vaccine political positions. But I did not see him publicly criticize urban planning and dangerous foundations close to the cobblestone eyebrow. We had to have good kids and caress ears but why? It doesn’t need it is one of the most worthy seismologists (better than me) we have.

I do not oppose that the Commission may invite special renowned scientists (according to the ministry’s response to my resignation text). But to choose them by purely scientific criteria through the dozens of experts we have and all of them alternate on a case -by -case basis and not to occupy the chairs permanently.

On the other hand, I heard someone very sympathetic to the other colleague in Geodynamic (I think he was sober …) to recommend me to retire from active action and not to use my enormous experience by saying the Spanish word Combrendo. Unfortunately, he confirmed that no worse enemy of the beneficial unholy.

I will not deal with such ridiculousness again and focus, from now on, on my post on essential issues that interest the world (wrong but in the case of the panic we observe) the mantle of the “professional restaurant” and not of the scientific terrorist . I will say once again that the earthquake does not kill but panic and ignorance!

Continue to be careful (and let’s have a relative calm tonight before the storm follows) we have a road in front of us.